{"id":38196,"date":"2020-09-17T08:00:33","date_gmt":"2020-09-17T06:00:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/finalcall.demowebprojects.com\/da\/?p=38196"},"modified":"2020-09-16T11:21:47","modified_gmt":"2020-09-16T09:21:47","slug":"eurocontrol-dystert-scenarie-luftfart","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/finalcall.demowebprojects.com\/da\/eurocontrol-dystert-scenarie-luftfart\/","title":{"rendered":"Eurocontrol kommer med dystert scenarie for luftfarten"},"content":{"rendered":"

Eurocontrol har revideret sit fremtidige trafikscenarie for luftfarten frem til februar 2021. Iflg. de nye analyser, s\u00e5 forventes trafikken i Europa at blive 55% lavere end sidste \u00e5r – et fald p\u00e5 6 mio. flyvninger. Betydeligt v\u00e6rre end f\u00f8rst antaget.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Nye analyser fra Eurocontrol viser at genstarten af luftfarten og en tilbagevenden til normale forhold ikke g\u00e5r i samme tempo, som man tidligere har troet. Ny unders\u00f8gelse viser et fald p\u00e5 6 mio. flyvninger i forhold til sidste \u00e5r. Disse forudsigelser g\u00e5r h\u00e5nd i h\u00e5nd med de sp\u00e5domme, som IATA tidligere er kommet med.<\/p>\n

“Vi g\u00e5r tilbage og det er virkeligt bekymrende for hele branchen. Der savnes koordinering mellem staterne om hvordan man h\u00e5ndterer flyrejser p\u00e5 trods af god vejledning fra EASA og ECDC. Der findes meget forvirring og meget lidt tillid hos passagererne”<\/em> siger\u00a0Eamonn Brennan generaldirekt\u00f8r hos Eurocontrol.<\/p>\n

Brennan forts\u00e6tter:<\/p>\n

“Vi kan forbedre situationen, hvis der findes koordinering mellem staterne om hvordan man bedst h\u00e5ndterer flyrejser gennem harmoniserede test og f\u00e6lles kriterier for epidemiologisk bed\u00f8mmelse. Det vil give mere forudsigelighed for passagererne, lufthavne og flyselskaber. Samtidigt kan det blive v\u00e6rre, hvis stater forts\u00e6tter med at indf\u00f8re begr\u00e6nsninger og karant\u00e6nekrav, som er med til at tage livet af rejse- og turistindustrien”.<\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>

grafik: EUROCONTROL September 2020<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Tidligere scenarier var for optimistiske<\/strong><\/p>\n

Eurocontrol havde 24. april antaget og g\u00e5et ud med fremtidsscenarier. Dengang viste forudsigelserne en betydeligt lysere situation for efter\u00e5ret og vinteren end de ser nu. Nu konstaterer de at det var en for optimistisk vurdering.<\/p>\n

Tallene er baseret p\u00e5 et \u201dCoordinated Measures Scenario\u201d, som var var meget pr\u00e6cist i april og frem til slutningen af august og som forudsagde en trafiksituation p\u00e5 -89% i april og -50% i august. Den oprindelige bed\u00f8mmelse over sommeren var meget pr\u00e6cis og varierede kun +\/-1% pr. m\u00e5ned i forhold til den faktiske trafik.<\/p>\n

Dengang forudsagde man at en tilbagevenden mod normalen ville forts\u00e6tte i samme takt i l\u00f8bet af efter\u00e5ret og potentielt over vinteren og antog at flere interkontinentale ruter ville komme igang igen. Det mener de nu ikke kommer til at ske.<\/p>\n

I kampen mod Covid-19 i Europa, s\u00e5 har stater imidlertid indf\u00f8rt individuelle og ukoordinerede restriktioner. Dette har en st\u00e6rk direkte indvirkning p\u00e5 antallet af bookinger, som flyselskaberne f\u00e5r nu og i den kommende tid.<\/p>\n

Den 13. september l\u00e5 trafikken 53% under samme m\u00e5ned sidste \u00e5r, hvilket allerede var 13% procentpoint lavere end Eurocontrols tidligere prognose, som var -40% for september.<\/p>\n

Ukoordinerede rejserestriktioner er st\u00e6rk bidragsfaktor<\/strong><\/p>\n

Eftersp\u00f8rgslen p\u00e5 flyrejser er fortsat ekstrem lav, som f\u00f8lge af usikkerheden og uforudsigeligheden – samt forvirring over landes forskellige m\u00e5de at h\u00e5ndtere indrejse- og karant\u00e6neregler p\u00e5. I den kommende tid kommer flytrafikken formodenligt til at mindskes yderligere, som svar p\u00e5 staternes restriktioner mener de.<\/p>\n

Genstarten af langruter – udenfor Europa – er fortsat st\u00e6rkt udfordret meddeler Eurocontrol.<\/p>\n

Eurocontrol vurderer at det ovenst\u00e5ende scenarie kommer til at betyde et indt\u00e6gtsfald p\u00e5 140 mia. euro. Dette g\u00f8r at 2020 bliver et endnu st\u00f8rre mareridt for flyselskaber og lufthavne end f\u00f8rst forudsagt. Tidligere vurderede de et indt\u00e6gtsfald p\u00e5 110. mia euro.<\/p>\n

L\u00e6s hele pressemeddelelsen fra Eurocontrol p\u00e5 dette link.<\/a><\/p>\n

F\u00f8lg ogs\u00e5 FinalCall.travel p\u00e5 Facebook, s\u00e5 g\u00e5r du ikke glip af de vigtigste nyheder<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Husk at du kan blive medlem af vores lukkede Facebook-gruppe for alle, som rejser mere end gennemsnittet. Svar blot p\u00e5 de tre sp\u00f8rgsm\u00e5l vi stiller dig ved tilmelding.\u00a0Tilmeld dig Frequent Traveler Danmark her.<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Eurocontrol har revideret sit fremtidige trafikscenarie for luftfarten frem til februar 2021. Iflg. de nye analyser, s\u00e5 forventes trafikken i Europa at blive 55% lavere end sidste \u00e5r – et fald p\u00e5 6 mio. flyvninger. Betydeligt v\u00e6rre end f\u00f8rst antaget. Nye analyser fra Eurocontrol viser at genstarten af luftfarten og en tilbagevenden til normale forhold …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":91,"featured_media":33290,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[2,28,48,51],"tags":[268,761,773,797,837,838,995,1115,1159,1281,1837,1842,2035,2796,2833,2949],"class_list":["post-38196","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-nyheder-flyselskaber","category-nyheder-lufthavne","tag-amsterdam-ams","tag-corona","tag-covid-19","tag-cruiseskip","tag-delft-universitet","tag-delftware","tag-eurocontrol","tag-flybilletter","tag-flyselskaber","tag-genstart","tag-lsg","tag-luftfart","tag-nairobi","tag-slotshotellet","tag-soenderhaven","tag-sunwing"],"yoast_head":"\nEurocontrol 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